Probabilistic Decision Making

Probabilistic Decision Making

The Dangerous Assumption Behind Almost Every Project Estimate Listen to the Audio version of this blog here. Watch a brief summary video of this blog. 1. Introduction – The Illusion of Certainty in Project Estimates. Over the years, I’ve reviewed hundreds of project...
Signs your business is in trouble.

Signs your business is in trouble.

How Sensible Decisions Quietly Create Serious Business Problems. Listen to the Audio version of this blog here. Watch a brief summary video of this blog. Most businesses don’t get into trouble overnight. There’s no single bad decision. No dramatic collapse. No moment...